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OEM Automotive Industry in transition

Remark: Further information on suppliers to the automotive industry can be found in the profiles of the metal-processing, electronics/electrical engineering and rubber and plastics industries.

The suppliers in the automotive industry are having to restructure themselves and realign their relations with the motor vehicle manufacturers, develop new business models to suit the new market conditions, reduce costs, and relocate, close or refit production facilities. After a necessary period of consolidation, the sector will emerge from the crisis with new strength.

2009Change to
zu 2008
Motor Vehicle Production 2009
Worldwide:60 Mio.- 9 Mio.
Europe:17 Mio.- 4,8 Mio.
NAFTA:8,7 Mio.- 4,2 Mio.
Japan:  7,9 Mio.- 3,6 Mio.
China:13,8 Mio.+ 4,5 Mio.
Others12,6 Mio.- 1 Mio.


Sales
Worldwide: € 2,000 bn
Europe: € 550 bn
Germany: € 290 bn
Investment R&D and production
Worldwide: € 85 bn
Germany: € 19 bn
Empoyees
Worldwide: 9 mill.
Europe: 2,6 mill.
Germany: 750,000

Growth markets for sales/production
 
China
  • 2008: only 2% of the population owns a car
  • High investment in infrastructure expansion thanks to economic stimulus programmes
  • A growing middle class with a solid income and a corresponding demand for consumer goods
  • Reduced sales tax for passenger cars under 1,6l cubic capacity
  • Governmental aid for developing alternative drives
  • New registrations grew by 70% in the 1st quarter of 2010 compared to prior year
  • Goverment encourages the increase of market share of Chinese manufacturers
ASEAN
  • 2 million motor vehicles are sold per year – growing trend
  • Market potential ranges from small and premium brands to light-duty commercial vehicles
  • High import tariffs for vehicles from outside Asia are forcing foreign manufacturers to manufacture locally
  • European and American motor vehicle manufacturers can count on state support for the construction of new manufacturing locations in ASEAN countries 
  • Sales levels will differ as to each individual country
India
  • 2008: only 1.5% of the population owns a car
  • Despite the economic crisis India is still a growth market
  • Introduction of new models and high degree of capacity utilisation require further investments
Eastern Europe
  • High number of older cars
  • Inflation is holding back purchases of new cars
  • The ending of economic incentives will be a great challenge for car manufacturers
  • Only Czech Republic and Slovenia were able to raise the demand
Russia
  • Governmental incentives are only valid for cars made in Russia
  • Imports are subject to a 30% import tax since 2009. Foreign manufacturers are having to produce locally
  • New registrations decreased by 50% in 2009
  • A recovery in the market is not expected in the short term
  • Economy still strongly tied to trends in raw material prices
  • Long-term there is good potential, in particular for foreign motor vehicles, which have been able to significantly expand their market share  
Opportunities in established markets
 
USA
  • Trend towards eco-friendly and fuel-efficient cars
  • Domestic manufacturers have to adjust to the changes in demand
  • Foreign manufacturers have the advantage because of their more advanced technology
  • Sales increase of 10 % expected in 2010
Western Europe
  • Customers want high standard of technology
  • Environmentally-friendly and affordable small cars
  • Alternative drive systems 
  • +1% new registrations in 2009
  • Sales is expected to decrease in 2010 due to the ending of the economic incentive programs
  • Increasing demand of diesel engines
  • Governmental aid for electrical drives
Japan
  • Government encourages purchase of new cars through a scrappage bonus and grants tax breaks to those buying hybrid and electric vehicles until the end of September 2010
  • Japanese manufacturers are gearing up to future needs through continuing development of alternative drive systems and are reducing investment in large vehicles
  • High innovations capability, good infrastructure and technology leadership  
Technology trends
  • Improved road safety
    • intelligent driving systems
    • improved sensor technology
    • car passenger protection systems
  • Hybrid and electric motors
  • Transport efficiency (traffic guidance systems)
  • Lightweight construction
  • Reduction of fuel consumption  
Commercial trends
 
  • Traffic safety
  • In the established markets customers place high value on safety, both in the vehicles and on the roads. Further developments in vehicle technology to improve safety are being given top priority. Many safety improvements, such as ABS, airbags etc. are now standard  

  • Environmental policy / Resource-saving
  • To remain competitive in the long term, manufacturers have to find alternatives to the use of dwindling resources and fuels. They also have to address the ever tighter legal framework as regards reduction of carbon emissions in the life cycle through production, use and disposal. Most countries are making a lot of money available for this as part of their economic packages. Noise protection also plays a large part
 
  • General
  • Best market opportunities for cars that combine optimal safety and environmental protection at an attractive price
Source: VDA, OICA, Germany Trade & Invest 

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